I think Stanford has a shot at the Fiesta Bowl, but our chances at playing for a national championship I think are slim to none.
The problem is the strength of schedule in the BCS rankings. Right now Stanford has the #1 rated schedule in the country, based on our opponents win-loss and their opponents win-loss, which is why we’re ranked so high. The problem is, after Washington, none of our remaining opponents have a winning record, so we can only go down. But a lot of the other teams in the top 10 are back-heavy in their schedule so they’ll go up (if they win). So yeah, our only hope is for everyone to beat up on each other. In particular, we need to beat Washington and then Washington needs to beat Miami.
But I’m still hoping.